Singapore's New Gold Play: Abaxx vs. London

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The emergence of the Abaxx Commodity Exchange in Singapore marks a noteworthy shift in the global gold trading landscape, particularly in the context of Asia's burgeoning market potentialIn an era where gold prices have surged dramatically, driven by increasing demand from central banks and investors seeking safety, the introduction of gold futures contracts specifically designed for physical delivery in this city-state offers a novel approach to integrating the futures market with the physical gold market.

David Greely, the chief economist at Abaxx, has articulated a vision where Singapore serves as a nexus for trading gold futuresThis is particularly relevant as the gold market grapples with unprecedented challenges, including tight supplies and fluctuations in demand spurred by global eventsFor instance, this year alone, gold prices have already soared to new heights, climbing a staggering 27% since 2024. The combination of geopolitical tensions, currency fluctuations, and shifts in investor sentiment has consistently pushed gold into the spotlight as a critical asset class.

Greely's insights reveal a structural issue in the way gold futures are traded globallyHe noted that the disconnect between futures prices at the New York Mercantile Exchange (Comex) and the spot prices in London has created a complex environment for tradersThis divergence, which mirrors the market upheavals experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic, has raised alarm among traders who are concerned about how U.S. tariffs might further distort pricesWith many gold bars being shipped to the U.S. from London in record amounts, the operational dynamics of foreign markets and their influence on U.S. prices are becoming increasingly pronounced.

Singapore has long aspired to establish itself as a premier hub for precious metals tradingSince 2012, it has attracted investment by exempting investment-grade gold, silver, and platinum from Goods and Services Tax (GST). This strategic move has positioned Singapore advantageously, notably given its geographical proximity to major Asian markets, including China

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Albert Cheng, CEO of the Singapore Bullion Market Association, outlined this natural advantage, which could be capitalized upon by traders and investors alike.

Asian collectors, especially high-net-worth individuals, exhibit a robust appetite for physical precious metals, unlike their Western counterparts who favor futures and ETFsGreely elaborated on this unique characteristic of the Asian market, emphasizing the prominence of one-kilogram gold bars—a weight measurement preferred in Asia, unlike the ounces commonly used in the WestAs he stated, "Asia should have its own trading platform, and we believe Singapore is the best-suited location." This spirit of regional empowerment is central to Abaxx's endeavors.

Nevertheless, underlining the complexities of this ambitious project is the stark contrast between Singapore's physical gold reserves and those of LondonLondon boasts an enormous inventory of approximately 8,500 tons of gold stored within its vaults, a figure that fortifies its role as the leading gold trading centerIn contrast, Singapore lacks such substantial reserves, which poses a significant challenge for companies like Abaxx that aim to facilitate gold trading in this regionThe necessity of cultivating strong supplier relationships becomes paramount, as highlighted by Chen from the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of SingaporeIt will be crucial for players in Singapore to partner with reliable suppliers capable of delivering the needed liquidity in times of market volatility.

To bridge this gap, Abaxx and similar enterprises must diversify their supplier networks and forge close collaborations with reputable global gold providersThis proactive approach is essential in ensuring that operations remain seamless even in unpredictable market conditionsWithout such measures, instability and insufficient supply could not only disrupt operations but also undermine confidence in gold contracts and, by extension, the marketplace itself.

The journey to establishing a viable gold trading environment in Singapore is fraught with potential pitfalls, as evidenced by the Singapore Exchange's prior attempt to launch gold futures in 2014. This initiative ultimately faltered as trade volumes dwindled, resulting in the termination of the contracts after just four years

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